Track record · closed signal

Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR) — closed signal from August 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 3, 2026 — -12.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

DAR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$61.31 Published $69.89 Target $53.62 Window close $69.98 Peak
$58.50 – $61.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$61.31Published — price the day we called it
$69.89Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$69.98Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$53.62Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 15 days.

At window close
-12.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+14.1%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
-1.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$53.62
last close inside the window, ended November 3, 2026
Peak price
$69.98
peak on August 20, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
15

The thesis — published August 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$69.89
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$58.50 – $61.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$61.31
published August 5, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Darling shows faster profit recovery and better margins, which could lead analysts to raise forecasts in the next few months. The stock is not heavily followed, so the idea is less crowded. However, recent price action is weak, trading volume has been unusually low, and the future profitability of renewable-fuel businesses is still unclear, so confidence remains moderate.

Primary drivers

  • Company reported notably better recent profits and margins
  • Reasonable price relative to peers could attract buyers
  • Exposure to renewable fuels could drive future gains
  • Offers a different option than popular tech-focused names

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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