Track record · closed signal

First Majestic Silver Corp (AG) — closed signal from August 5, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 3, 2026 — -19.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$17.43 Published $20.38 Target $14.10 Window close $22.19 Peak
$16.17 – $16.97Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.43Published — price the day we called it
$20.38Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$22.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$14.10Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 14 days.

At window close
-19.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+27.3%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
-1.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$14.10
last close inside the window, ended November 3, 2026
Peak price
$22.19
peak on August 28, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
14

The thesis — published August 5, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$20.38
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$16.17 – $16.97
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$17.43
published August 5, 2026
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

First Majestic gives strong upside if silver prices stay firm because the company produces silver and benefits more when metal prices rise. Recent sales more than doubled compared to last year and the company has more cash than debt, which helps operations. However, uneven earnings, high price swings and rising mining costs create extra risk, so the stock is more attractive if it pulls back to lower levels.

Primary drivers

  • Direct benefit when silver prices rise
  • Sales more than doubled compared to last year
  • Cash above debt gives operating flexibility
  • Positive valuation talk could lift sentiment

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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