Track record · closed signal

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) — closed signal from August 16, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 14, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

ORCL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$243.16 – $248.14Entry zone — fair-value band

$247.85Published — price the day we called it

$291.96Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$345.12Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$222.85Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 25 days.

Peak price

$345.12

peak on September 10, 2025 — not a realized return

Peak gain

+39.2%

peak, from the publication price

Window close

$222.85

end-of-window price, context only

Days to target

Window

August 16, 2025 – November 14, 2025

The thesis — published August 16, 2025

Predicted growth

+18%

over the measurement window

Target price

$291.96

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$243.16 – $248.14

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$247.85

published August 16, 2025

Confidence

62%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Oracle looks beaten down and could rebound. Investor mood is positive and trading is heavier than usual. News says use of its self-managing database rose 47% from last year, backing the cloud and AI story. Over the next three months, a drift back toward the recent average price seems reasonable as selling cools. We prefer buying in steps while waiting for a clear turn upward.

Primary drivers

Self-running database usage up 47% vs last year, showing strong demand
Sold-off setup often leads to a near-term rebound as selling pressure eases
Positive mood and higher-than-usual trading point to solid buyer interest
Growing use of AI tools and Oracle Cloud (OCI) can bring in more customers

How it played out

ORCL: target reached in 25 days

Lyra published ORCL at 247.85 on 2025-08-16 with an 18% expected gain over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to a beaten-down setup, positive investor mood, heavier-than-usual trading, self-running database usage up 47% from last year, and growing use of Oracle Cloud and artificial intelligence tools.

Inside the window, ORCL reached a peak of 345.12 on 2025-09-10. That was a 39.2% peak gain, and it reached the 291.96 target in 25 days. The stock later ended the window at 222.85 on 2025-11-14. The thesis played out early, then gave back the move before the window closed.

What happened during the window

On 2025-09-22, Oracle named Clay Magouyrk and Mike Sicilia as co-CEOs, while Safra Catz moved to executive vice chair. On 2025-10-14, AP reported that Oracle and AMD expanded a partnership tied to artificial intelligence infrastructure.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All ORCL signals