Track record · closed signal

American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) — closed signal from August 4, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 2, 2026 — -17.7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AMSC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$32.00 Published $37.76 Target $26.35 Window close $34.24 Peak
$29.50 – $31.50Entry zone — fair-value band
$32.00Published — price the day we called it
$37.76Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$34.24Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$26.35Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 39% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-17.7%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+7%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
-2.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$26.35
last close inside the window, ended November 2, 2026
Peak price
$34.24
peak on August 7, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published August 4, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$37.76
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$29.50 – $31.50
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$32.00
published August 4, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AMSC is a short-term, higher-risk growth idea tied to upgrades in the power grid and demand for its power-control products. The company has strong cash which reduces financing worries. A quarterly report this week could swing sentiment, but thin trading and big price swings make the outlook uncertain despite some recent positive momentum.

Primary drivers

  • Power grid upgrades should increase demand for control products
  • Strong cash position lowers the need to raise money
  • Repeated solid earnings support operational momentum
  • Upcoming results are a near-term event that adds upside or downside risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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