Track record · closed signal

Vicor Corporation (VICR) — closed signal from August 4, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 2, 2026 — -22.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

VICR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$227.04 Published $272.45 Target $174.97 Window close $331.00 Peak
$205.00 – $220.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$227.04Published — price the day we called it
$272.45Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$331.00Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$174.97Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 50 days.

At window close
-22.9%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+45.8%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
-2.3%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$174.97
last close inside the window, ended November 2, 2026
Peak price
$331.00
peak on October 1, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
50

The thesis — published August 4, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$272.45
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$205.00 – $220.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$227.04
published August 4, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Vicor makes compact power parts used in big AI and data systems. Sales have been growing fast, the company raised its outlook, and it has plenty of cash. A larger order backlog gives clearer near-term demand. But the stock trades at a high price, trading activity is thin and volatile, and recent price action is weak, so the setup needs a bigger pullback to gain conviction.

Primary drivers

  • Growing need for compact power parts in AI and data centers
  • Bigger backlog makes short-term sales more visible
  • Higher guidance and solid recent results support momentum
  • Cash on hand reduces overall valuation risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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