Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corp (BAC) — closed signal from July 30, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 28, 2026 — -16.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$61.20 Published $66.37 Target $50.85 Window close $64.90 Peak
$58.90 – $61.17Entry zone — fair-value band
$61.20Published — price the day we called it
$66.37Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$64.90Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$50.85Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 67% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-16.9%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+6%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$50.85
last close inside the window, ended October 28, 2026
Peak price
$64.90
peak on August 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published July 30, 2026

Predicted growth
+9%
over the measurement window
Target price
$66.37
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$58.90 – $61.17
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$61.20
published July 30, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America shows steady profits and benefits from interest income plus trading and deal activity. The recent drop looks tied to the whole bank sector, not just this firm. Heavy selling and active trading hint at a possible bounce, but negative price pressure, unclear interest-rate direction and limited room for valuation gains reduce how much upside is likely.

Primary drivers

  • Reliable profit delivery across business lines
  • Stable earnings from interest on loans and deposits
  • Ongoing activity in trading and deal-making businesses
  • Wide retail and commercial banking customer base

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.