$36.94Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$28.61Window close — end-of-window price, context only
What happened
Target reached
Reached its target in 8 days.
At window close
-7.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+20%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$28.61
last close inside the window, ended October 28, 2026
Peak price
$36.94
peak on August 28, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
8
The thesis — published July 30, 2026
Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$35.10
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$29.50 – $31.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$30.79
published July 30, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)
Buenaventura looks inexpensive relative to peers, backed by recent good earnings and a solid balance sheet. Upcoming production data and a scheduled results call give a near-term event to measure operations. Updated gold guidance helps set clearer expectations. However, trading is very thin and exposure to metal prices and event outcomes keeps overall conviction only moderate.
Primary drivers
New gold production targets set clearer expectations
Scheduled results call gives a near-term data point
Company value moves with gold and silver prices
Strong balance sheet and low valuation limit downside
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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