Track record · closed signal

Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA ADR (BVN) — closed signal from July 30, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 28, 2026 — -7.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BVN price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$30.79 Published $35.10 Target $28.61 Window close $36.94 Peak
$29.50 – $31.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$30.79Published — price the day we called it
$35.10Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$36.94Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$28.61Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 8 days.

At window close
-7.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+20%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$28.61
last close inside the window, ended October 28, 2026
Peak price
$36.94
peak on August 28, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
8

The thesis — published July 30, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$35.10
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$29.50 – $31.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$30.79
published July 30, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Buenaventura looks inexpensive relative to peers, backed by recent good earnings and a solid balance sheet. Upcoming production data and a scheduled results call give a near-term event to measure operations. Updated gold guidance helps set clearer expectations. However, trading is very thin and exposure to metal prices and event outcomes keeps overall conviction only moderate.

Primary drivers

  • New gold production targets set clearer expectations
  • Scheduled results call gives a near-term data point
  • Company value moves with gold and silver prices
  • Strong balance sheet and low valuation limit downside

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.