Track record · closed signal

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) — closed signal from July 30, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 28, 2026 — +16.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

ORCL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$124.14 Published $145.95 Target $144.54 Window close $170.07 Peak
$119.12 – $124.08Entry zone — fair-value band
$124.14Published — price the day we called it
$145.95Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$170.07Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$144.54Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 5 days.

At window close
+16.4%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+37%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$144.54
last close inside the window, ended October 28, 2026
Peak price
$170.07
peak on September 8, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
5

The thesis — published July 30, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$145.95
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$119.12 – $124.08
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$124.14
published July 30, 2026
Confidence
81%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Oracle looks positioned to recover because cloud demand is picking up, the company keeps steady, repeat business from large clients, and earnings have been reliable. The Google deal embeds advanced AI into Oracle products, which is a tangible boost for sales. High debt and volatile share moves reduce overall conviction despite improving momentum.

Primary drivers

  • Stable, recurring sales from databases and apps
  • Growth in cloud infrastructure services
  • Google deal adds AI across key Oracle products
  • Consistent earnings deliveries recently

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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