Track record · closed signal

StandardAero, Inc. (SARO) — closed signal from July 22, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 20, 2026 — -22.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

SARO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$27.64 Published $30.67 Target $21.43 Window close $31.64 Peak
$26.50 – $27.80Entry zone — fair-value band
$27.64Published — price the day we called it
$30.67Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$31.64Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$21.43Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 13 days.

At window close
-22.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+14.5%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+3.2%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$21.43
last close inside the window, ended October 20, 2026
Peak price
$31.64
peak on August 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
13

The thesis — published July 22, 2026

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$30.67
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$26.50 – $27.80
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$27.64
published July 22, 2026
Confidence
63%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

StandardAero just won leasing and maintenance deals for LEAP engines that could increase how much the company's service shops are used in the next few months. The stock looks oversold and near a trend area that can spark a rebound, but weak trading, high debt, slim profits and a high price make the case fragile and worth caution.

Primary drivers

  • New LEAP engine leasing and maintenance deals that bring business
  • Higher demand for commercial aircraft aftermarket services
  • Price looks oversold and is near a trend support area
  • More service capacity could raise how much shops are used

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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