Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from August 16, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 14, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$34.21 Published $41.18 Target $38.14 Window close $39.86 Peak
$33.16 – $34.40Entry zone — fair-value band
$34.21Published — price the day we called it
$41.18Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$39.86Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$38.14Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 79% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$39.86
peak on October 2, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.5%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$38.14
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
August 16, 2025 – November 14, 2025

The thesis — published August 16, 2025

Predicted growth
+21%
over the measurement window
Target price
$41.18
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$33.16 – $34.40
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$34.21
published August 16, 2025
Confidence
79%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources looks due for a snapback after a sharp drop, while the story and the business still look solid. Demand for natural gas may climb as AI data centers and LNG exports grow. The company beat Q2 expectations with 67% revenue growth, and a major bank lifted its target. If gas prices steady, shares could work back toward recent average price over the next few months, though wild commodity swings are the main risk.

Primary drivers

  • AI data centers and LNG exports could lift long-term natural gas demand
  • Price looks beaten down, raising the odds of a steady near-term rebound
  • Strong Q2 results and a higher price target from a well-known Wall Street bank
  • Investor mood and company basics look steady and supportive for gains ahead

How it played out

RRC: the target was missed despite a rebound

Lyra published RRC at $34.21 on August 16, 2025, with expected growth of 21% toward $41.18. The thesis pointed to a snapback after a sharp drop, possible natural gas demand from artificial intelligence data centers and LNG exports, strong Q2 results with 67% revenue growth, and a higher bank target.

Inside the window, RRC rose, but it never reached $41.18. The stock peaked at $39.86 on October 2, a 16.5% gain. It ended the window at $38.14 on November 14. The thesis partly played out, but the published target was missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.