Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) — closed signal from August 15, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 13, 2025 — +7.2% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 89 days.
The thesis — published August 15, 2025
Shares have fallen recently but the longer trend is still up, and signs point to a possible turn higher soon. Profits per share beat expectations and the bank confirmed preferred dividends, which helps mood. A firm hold above the recent average price would boost confidence. Over the next 1-3 months, a steady drift back toward typical levels is possible if buying picks up, though loan quality trends and regulatory costs remain key risks.
Primary drivers
- Price looks washed out after a dip, while the bigger trend remains upward
- Better-than-expected profit per share improved investor confidence
- Preferred dividends were confirmed, signaling steady capital returns
- We need signs that buying pressure is steadying before expecting gains
How it played out
WFC: target reached in 89 days
Lyra published WFC at 78.97 on 2025-08-15 with a short-term view for 12% growth. The thesis pointed to a washed-out price after a dip, a larger upward trend, better-than-expected profit per share, confirmed preferred dividends, and the need for steadier buying pressure.
Inside the 2025-08-15 to 2025-11-13 window, WFC reached a peak of 88.64 on 2025-11-12. That was above the 87.99 target, with a 12.2% peak gain, and it took 89 days. The stock ended at 84.70. The thesis played out.
What happened during the window
On 2025-10-14, Wells Fargo reported third-quarter earnings of 1.66 per share on revenue of 21.44 billion, according to Investor's Business Daily.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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