Track record · closed signal

Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) — closed signal from August 15, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 13, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

WFC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$78.97 Published $87.99 Target $84.70 Window close $88.64 Peak
$77.68 – $79.17Entry zone — fair-value band
$78.97Published — price the day we called it
$87.99Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$88.64Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$84.70Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 89 days.

Peak price
$88.64
peak on November 12, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+12.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$84.70
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
89
Window
August 15, 2025 – November 13, 2025

The thesis — published August 15, 2025

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$87.99
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$77.68 – $79.17
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$78.97
published August 15, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Shares have fallen recently but the longer trend is still up, and signs point to a possible turn higher soon. Profits per share beat expectations and the bank confirmed preferred dividends, which helps mood. A firm hold above the recent average price would boost confidence. Over the next 1-3 months, a steady drift back toward typical levels is possible if buying picks up, though loan quality trends and regulatory costs remain key risks.

Primary drivers

  • Price looks washed out after a dip, while the bigger trend remains upward
  • Better-than-expected profit per share improved investor confidence
  • Preferred dividends were confirmed, signaling steady capital returns
  • We need signs that buying pressure is steadying before expecting gains

How it played out

WFC: target reached in 89 days

Lyra published WFC at 78.97 on 2025-08-15 with a short-term view for 12% growth. The thesis pointed to a washed-out price after a dip, a larger upward trend, better-than-expected profit per share, confirmed preferred dividends, and the need for steadier buying pressure.

Inside the 2025-08-15 to 2025-11-13 window, WFC reached a peak of 88.64 on 2025-11-12. That was above the 87.99 target, with a 12.2% peak gain, and it took 89 days. The stock ended at 84.70. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-14, Wells Fargo reported third-quarter earnings of 1.66 per share on revenue of 21.44 billion, according to Investor's Business Daily.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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