Track record · closed signal

Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) — closed signal from August 15, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 13, 2025 — +0.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

CRM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$238.89 Published $280.95 Target $240.04 Window close $266.70 Peak
$235.42 – $240.38Entry zone — fair-value band
$238.89Published — price the day we called it
$280.95Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$266.70Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$240.04Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 64% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
+0.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+11.6%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.7%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$240.04
last close inside the window, ended November 13, 2025
Peak price
$266.70
peak on October 21, 2025 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published August 15, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$280.95
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$235.42 – $240.38
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$238.89
published August 15, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Salesforce looks oversold after a sharp pullback, and trading volume has been higher than normal, which can help short-term rebounds. However, the trend signal is still weak and the price is below its recent average price, so we want to see the stock stop falling and make a higher low first. Over the next 1-3 months, a move back toward recent and medium-term average prices is possible. Key risks are rich pricing and delivery on new AI features.

Primary drivers

  • Shares look very oversold, suggesting room for a short-term bounce
  • A friendlier market mood lately has been helping software stocks
  • The longer-term trend is still decent, which can support a rebound
  • Key trend signals and average-price gauges still need to improve

How it played out

CRM: rebound came through, target did not

Lyra published CRM at 238.89 with an 18% expected gain and a 280.95 target. The thesis pointed to oversold shares, higher-than-normal trading volume, friendlier software-stock mood, and a still decent longer-term trend. It also said key trend signals and average-price gauges still needed to improve, with risks around rich pricing and delivery on artificial intelligence features.

Inside the window, CRM rose to 266.7 on 2025-10-21, with a peak gain of 11.6%. It stayed below 280.95. It ended at 240.04, close to the publication price. The thesis partly played out: the rebound happened, but the full target was missed.

What happened during the window

On October 13, 2025, Salesforce announced Agentforce 360, a platform for building and managing enterprise artificial intelligence agents.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All CRM signals