Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — closed signal from August 15, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 13, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$34.26 Published $42.26 Target $37.93 Window close $39.86 Peak
$33.66 – $34.65Entry zone — fair-value band
$34.26Published — price the day we called it
$42.26Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$39.86Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$37.93Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 68% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$39.86
peak on October 2, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$37.93
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
August 15, 2025 – November 13, 2025

The thesis — published August 15, 2025

Predicted growth
+24%
over the measurement window
Target price
$42.26
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$33.66 – $34.65
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$34.26
published August 15, 2025
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources is a natural gas stock that has fallen fast, so the price looks washed out. At the same time, interest in the group is strong. Bigger drivers help: data centers need more electricity, global LNG shipments keep rising, and UBS set a $42 target. We would like to see signs the price trend starts improving before buying more. Over 1-3 months, a move back toward earlier highs is possible, but gas price swings are the main risk.

Primary drivers

  • Price looks beaten down, while trader interest reads extremely high
  • Growing data center power needs and more LNG exports can lift gas demand
  • UBS price target of $42 signals Wall Street sees room to climb
  • Need proof the trend is turning up before getting more confident

How it played out

RRC: thesis partly played out, target not reached

Lyra published RRC on 2025-08-15 at $34.26. The thesis expected 24% growth toward $42.26 over 1-3 months. It pointed to a beaten-down natural gas stock, very high trader interest, data center power demand, rising LNG exports, and a UBS target of $42. It also said the trend still needed to turn up.

Inside the window, RRC rose but did not reach the target. The peak was $39.86 on 2025-10-02, a 16.4% gain. It never got there. The stock ended the window at $37.93. The call partly played out, but the published target was missed.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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