GE Aerospace (GE) — closed signal from July 17, 2026
PartialPublished before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 15, 2026 — -12.1% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
GE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$345.00 – $355.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$354.87Published — price the day we called it
$401.00Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$388.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$312.00Window close — end-of-window price, context only
What happened
Partial
Reached 74% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.
At window close
-12.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+9.6%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.1%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$312.00
last close inside the window, ended October 15, 2026
Peak price
$388.84
peak on August 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—
The thesis — published July 17, 2026
Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$401.00
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$345.00 – $355.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$354.87
published July 17, 2026
Confidence
80%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)
GE Aerospace stands out because it just raised profit and cash forecasts and showed solid quarterly results. Strong demand for engine services helps keep profits steady. Shares have fallen toward short-term support, creating a chance for a bounce, but a weak trend, different ways of measuring earnings, and a pricey valuation mean the setup requires caution.
Primary drivers
Company raised profit and free-cash-flow forecasts this quarter
High demand for commercial engines and aftermarket services
Revenue and cash flow trends are getting healthier
Shares are oversold near short-term price support
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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