Track record · closed signal

Verizon Communications Inc (VZ) — closed signal from July 16, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 14, 2026 — +3.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

VZ price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$41.21 – $42.28Entry zone — fair-value band

$42.87Published — price the day we called it

$48.55Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$50.88Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$44.42Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 39 days.

At window close

+3.6%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+18.7%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+2.8%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$44.42

last close inside the window, ended October 14, 2026

Peak price

$50.88

peak on September 15, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published July 16, 2026

Predicted growth

+15%

over the measurement window

Target price

$48.55

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$41.21 – $42.28

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$42.87

published July 16, 2026

Confidence

79%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Verizon runs a big network that brings steady monthly payments from customers. Its shares look inexpensive and dividends help limit downside while the company shows signs customers are staying because the network is getting better. Heavy debt and slow organic growth reduce conviction, but near-term reward looks reasonable if cash flow and customer trends continue.

Primary drivers

Regular cash from wireless and broadband subscriptions
Better network quality helps keep customers from leaving
Low share price plus dividend provides a downside cushion
More buying interest in the market ahead of earnings

How it played out

VZ: target reached in 39 days

Lyra expected VZ to rise 15% from $42.87 to a $48.55 target over the short term. The thesis pointed to regular cash from wireless and broadband subscriptions, better network quality that could help retain customers, an inexpensive share price and dividend cushion, and more buying interest ahead of earnings. Heavy debt and slow organic growth reduced conviction.

The shares reached the target in 39 days. They later peaked at $50.88 on September 15, a gain of 18.7%, before ending the window at $44.42 on October 14. The expected move played out fully inside the measurement window, although the closing price was below the target.

What happened during the window

On July 24, Verizon reported 184,000 postpaid phone net additions and raised its full-year guidance. On August 20, it announced that it would redeem its 4.329% notes due 2028 on September 21.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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