Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) — closed signal from August 15, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 13, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 87 days.
The thesis — published August 15, 2025
Intuitive Surgical is a respected leader that just dropped after earnings because profits looked thinner, but the long-term story is intact. Procedure growth for its Ion system was strong, and a major bank praised its quality. Buying interest appears to be improving, and if the price holds above its recent average price, a 1-3 month recovery toward the post-earnings area is possible. Watch hospital budgets and profit margins.
Primary drivers
- Shares fell hard, and signs show buying interest is turning up again
- Ion lung-procedure volumes rose 52% compared to last year, showing demand
- A major bank labeled the company a high-quality pick, boosting confidence
- Investor confidence is strong, which can help the stock recover soon
How it played out
ISRG: target reached in 87 days
Lyra published ISRG at 481.33 on 2025-08-15 with an 18% expected gain over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to a sharp share drop, improving buying interest, 52% Ion lung-procedure growth, a major bank's quality call, and investor confidence. It also said hospital budgets and profit margins were risks to watch.
Inside the window, ISRG reached the 567.96 target. The peak was 580.47 on 2025-11-12, with a 20.6% peak gain, and the target was reached in 87 days. The stock ended the window at 565.51. The thesis played out.
What happened during the window
On Oct. 22, 2025, reports said Intuitive Surgical had posted third-quarter adjusted earnings of $2.40 per share and revenue of $2.51 billion. On the same date, reports said the company raised full-year da Vinci procedure growth guidance to 17% to 17.5%.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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