Track record · closed signal

IAMGold Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from July 14, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 12, 2026 — +20.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

IAG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$15.41 Published $18.49 Target $18.57 Window close $22.32 Peak
$14.70 – $15.40Entry zone — fair-value band
$15.41Published — price the day we called it
$18.49Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$22.32Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$18.57Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 28 days.

At window close
+20.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+44.8%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+3.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$18.57
last close inside the window, ended October 12, 2026
Peak price
$22.32
peak on August 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
28

The thesis — published July 14, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$18.49
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$14.70 – $15.40
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$15.41
published July 14, 2026
Confidence
79%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

IAMGold looks cheap relative to earnings and runs good profit margins. Upcoming August results give a clear check-in date. A bigger Cote resource and more credit capacity make the business easier to manage. Recent price weakness creates potential to bounce, but results are not yet confirming a trend and the stock is sensitive to gold prices and project execution.

Primary drivers

  • August results create a clear near-term operational check
  • More credit capacity improves financial flexibility
  • Larger Cote resource raises long-term asset value
  • Consistent earnings beats combined with low valuation

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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