Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from July 13, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 11, 2026 — +63.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$120.00 – $128.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$127.92Published — price the day we called it

$147.10Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$209.58Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$209.05Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 22 days.

At window close

+63.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+63.8%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+4.2%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$209.05

last close inside the window, ended October 11, 2026

Peak price

$209.58

peak on October 9, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published July 13, 2026

Predicted growth

+15%

over the measurement window

Target price

$147.10

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$120.00 – $128.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$127.92

published July 13, 2026

Confidence

65%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Palantir shows strong AI-driven sales growth, high profit margins, repeated earnings beats and lots of cash. Trading activity has been strong and many buyers are active, but the stock's high price relative to earnings makes it sensitive to any slip in execution or shifts in investor sentiment. Recent publicity issues add reputational risk; the short-term opportunity looks better near the low end of the price range.

Primary drivers

More companies paying for Palantir's AI software and services
Growing use by governments and large enterprises across projects
Large cash reserves and high profit margins support stability
Price action shows lots more people are buying than usual

How it played out

PLTR: target reached in 22 days

Lyra published PLTR at $127.92 with a 15% short-term growth thesis and a $147.10 target. The thesis pointed to more companies paying for its artificial intelligence software and services, wider use by governments and large enterprises, high profit margins, large cash reserves, and unusually strong buying activity. It also noted valuation and reputational risks.

PLTR reached the target in 22 days. It later peaked at $209.58 on October 9, a 63.8% gain, and ended the window at $209.05. The published thesis played out and exceeded its stated target.

What happened during the window

On August 3, 2026, Palantir reported second-quarter U.S. commercial revenue growth of 149% and total revenue growth of 93% from a year earlier. On September 8, 2026, Palantir and Nebius announced a partnership to provide sovereign computing infrastructure to Palantir customers.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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