Track record · closed signal

Analog Devices Inc (ADI) — closed signal from July 10, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 8, 2026 — +4.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

ADI price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$389.96 Published $439.32 Target $405.93 Window close $422.67 Peak
$379.68 – $389.62Entry zone — fair-value band
$389.96Published — price the day we called it
$439.32Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$422.67Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$405.93Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 65% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
+4.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+8.4%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$405.93
last close inside the window, ended October 8, 2026
Peak price
$422.67
peak on October 6, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published July 10, 2026

Predicted growth
+13%
over the measurement window
Target price
$439.32
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$379.68 – $389.62
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$389.96
published July 10, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Analog Devices could bounce in the next 0-3 months because overall chip company profits are improving and the stock is trading cheaply near its trend line. Positive industry news and steady earnings reports help sentiment, but there is no clear company-specific event driving the move. Weak buying interest and a cyclical slump in industrial demand reduce near-term conviction.

Primary drivers

  • Improving chip-company profits make rebounds more likely
  • Consistent earnings reports show the business is executing
  • Industry strength helps sentiment around the company
  • Weak buying interest and cyclical demand cap conviction

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.