Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corp (BAC) — closed signal from July 10, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 8, 2026 — -9.7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$59.38 Published $64.39 Target $53.61 Window close $64.90 Peak
$56.92 – $58.65Entry zone — fair-value band
$59.38Published — price the day we called it
$64.39Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$64.90Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$53.61Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 34 days.

At window close
-9.7%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+9.3%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$53.61
last close inside the window, ended October 8, 2026
Peak price
$64.90
peak on August 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
34

The thesis — published July 10, 2026

Predicted growth
+9%
over the measurement window
Target price
$64.39
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$56.92 – $58.65
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$59.38
published July 10, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America shows steady earnings, a fair price relative to peers, and improving activity in capital markets. The current pattern looks more like stabilizing than a clear uptrend. Key risks are interest income, loan-loss provisions, and the shape of interest rates. Overall, exposure near support feels more balanced between upside and downside.

Primary drivers

  • Steady earnings make forecasts more reliable
  • Fair valuation reduces dependence on big rerating
  • Improving bank results help overall sentiment
  • Credit trends and interest rates still pose risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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