Track record · closed signal

IAMGold Corporation (IAG) — closed signal from July 9, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 7, 2026 — +18% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

IAG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$14.50 – $15.40Entry zone — fair-value band

$15.28Published — price the day we called it

$19.10Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$22.32Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$18.03Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 39 days.

At window close

+18%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+46.1%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+3.7%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$18.03

last close inside the window, ended October 7, 2026

Peak price

$22.32

peak on August 25, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published July 9, 2026

Predicted growth

+25%

over the measurement window

Target price

$19.10

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$14.50 – $15.40

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$15.28

published July 9, 2026

Confidence

78%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

IAMGold looks appealing for a short 0-3 month trade because its value appears supported, profits are solid, and mine operations are getting better. A new large unused credit line and bigger resources lower the chance of financing trouble. The recent drop feels oversold, but sensitivity to gold prices and still-soft momentum mean it's constructive yet not risk-free.

Primary drivers

New large credit line eases financing concerns and boosts liquidity
Bigger mineral resources lengthen the mine life and outlook
Earnings show better mine execution and operational progress
Recent pullback looks oversold, improving timing vs. gold exposure

How it played out

IAG: target reached in 39 days

On July 9, Lyra published a short-term thesis at 15.28, with 25% growth expected toward 19.10. The thesis pointed to a new credit line, larger mineral resources, better mine execution and an oversold pullback. It also flagged sensitivity to gold prices and soft momentum as risks.

The target was reached in 39 days. IAG peaked at 22.32 on August 25, a 46.1% gain inside the window. It later fell and ended at 18.03 on October 7, below the target. The published short-term thesis played out, although the closing price gave back part of the rise.

What happened during the window

On August 6, IAMGOLD reported second-quarter production of 188,100 ounces and net earnings of $230.5 million. On August 10, it completed the sale of its 35% interest in the Bambadji joint venture, with about $70 million in cash proceeds before taxes and transaction costs.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All IAG signals