Track record · closed signal

Eldorado Gold Corp (EGO) — closed signal from July 9, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 7, 2026 — +21.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

EGO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$28.80 – $30.50Entry zone — fair-value band

$30.20Published — price the day we called it

$36.23Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$48.29Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$36.66Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 27 days.

At window close

+21.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+59.9%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+3.7%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$36.66

last close inside the window, ended October 7, 2026

Peak price

$48.29

peak on August 27, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published July 9, 2026

Predicted growth

+20%

over the measurement window

Target price

$36.23

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$28.80 – $30.50

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$30.20

published July 9, 2026

Confidence

71%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Eldorado is a gold miner with steady profits and improving reported results. The stock fell recently but trades at a valuation that looks reasonable versus peers. Q2 earnings are an upcoming information event that could clarify the outlook. If gold prices fall or costs rise, a rebound in the next 0-3 months may be delayed.

Primary drivers

Q2 results create a clear timing event for reassessment
Recent earnings are improving, supporting execution credibility
Strong profit margins give valuation support among peers
Recent oversold move looks better if momentum steadies

How it played out

EGO: target reached in 27 days

Lyra published EGO at 30.20, with an expected 20% rise over the short-term window and a target of 36.23. The thesis pointed to Q2 results as a reassessment point, improving reported earnings, strong profit margins and a recent oversold move that could recover if momentum steadied.

The stock reached the target in 27 days and kept rising. It peaked at 48.29 on August 27, a 59.9% gain from publication. By October 7, it ended at 36.66, still above the target. The published thesis played out and the expected 20% rise was exceeded within the measurement window.

What happened during the window

On July 30, 2026, Eldorado reported Q2 revenue of $487.5 million and gold production of 104,616 ounces. On September 8, 2026, the company announced that it had produced its first copper-gold concentrate at Skouries.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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