Track record · closed signal

Dorian LPG Ltd (LPG) — closed signal from July 6, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 4, 2026 — +51.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

LPG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$34.91 – $37.06Entry zone — fair-value band

$37.74Published — price the day we called it

$42.44Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$59.97Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$57.21Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 15 days.

At window close

+51.6%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+58.9%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+2.7%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$57.21

last close inside the window, ended October 4, 2026

Peak price

$59.97

peak on September 17, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published July 6, 2026

Predicted growth

+15%

over the measurement window

Target price

$42.44

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$34.91 – $37.06

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$37.74

published July 6, 2026

Confidence

74%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Dorian LPG owns big ships that move liquefied petroleum gas. Profitability has come back and management is selling and ordering vessels to manage capital, which can add value. Shipping rates swing a lot, so results are cyclical. Trading volume is low and price momentum is down, so confidence is reduced, though risk versus reward near recent support looks reasonable.

Primary drivers

Selling vessels and ordering new ships show disciplined capital moves
Recent strong profitability makes the company look cheaper for its cash flow
Revenue and earnings swing with shipping-rate changes, a big risk
Price looks stretched to the downside and could bounce near support

How it played out

LPG: target reached in 15 days

Lyra published a short-term thesis for 15% growth from $37.74, with a $42.44 target. The thesis pointed to vessel sales and new orders as disciplined capital moves, recent profitability, and the prospect of a bounce near support. It also identified swings in shipping rates, low trading volume, and falling price momentum as risks.

LPG reached the target in 15 days. It later rose to a $59.97 peak on September 17, a gain of 58.9%. The shares ended the window at $57.21, still above the target. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated price objective.

What happened during the window

On August 5, 2026, Dorian LPG reported quarterly net income of $138.3 million and adjusted net income of $107.2 million. On September 4, 2026, the company announced contracts for three new vessels, forward chartering estimates, and a new credit facility.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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