Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from July 6, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 4, 2026 — +50.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$31.60 – $33.35Entry zone — fair-value band

$35.07Published — price the day we called it

$36.14Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$52.88Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$52.74Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 38 days.

At window close

+50.4%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+50.8%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+2.7%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$52.74

last close inside the window, ended October 4, 2026

Peak price

$52.88

peak on October 2, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published July 6, 2026

Predicted growth

+10%

over the measurement window

Target price

$36.14

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$31.60 – $33.35

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$35.07

published July 6, 2026

Confidence

66%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline runs oil tankers and can make good profit when shipping rates rise. Recent analyst support and low valuation help the case, but gains depend on quickly changing geopolitics near Hormuz. Trading has been thin and past earnings fell short, and the company carries debt, so confidence in a rally is limited for now.

Primary drivers

Analyst rating draws short-term investor attention
Hormuz shipping news can swing tanker rates quickly
Solid profits help absorb part of the shipping cycle
Past earnings misses and debt raise caution on strength

How it played out

FRO: target reached in 38 days

On July 6, Lyra published a short-term thesis for FRO at $35.07, with expected growth of 10% and a $36.14 target. The thesis pointed to analyst support, shipping news near Hormuz, solid profits, and a low valuation. It also cited thin trading, past earnings misses, debt, and the risk of quickly changing geopolitics.

FRO reached the target in 38 days. It later rose to a $52.88 peak on October 2, a gain of 50.8%. The shares ended the window at $52.74, still above the target. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On August 28, Frontline reported second-quarter profit of $659.2 million and declared a $2.61 per-share dividend. On September 11, it declared a special one-time dividend of $0.80 per share after completing the sale of two vessels.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All FRO signals