Track record · closed signal

QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) — closed signal from August 14, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 12, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

QCOM price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$154.58 Published $191.15 Target $175.77 Window close $204.90 Peak
$150.72 – $153.65Entry zone — fair-value band
$154.58Published — price the day we called it
$191.15Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$204.90Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$175.77Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 74 days.

Peak price
$204.90
peak on October 27, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+32.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$175.77
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
74
Window
August 14, 2025 – November 12, 2025

The thesis — published August 14, 2025

Predicted growth
+25%
over the measurement window
Target price
$191.15
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$150.72 – $153.65
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$154.58
published August 14, 2025
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Qualcomm's stock is acting well: buying interest is strong and the short-term price trend is pointing up. Bank of America kept a Buy rating with a $200 target. A widely used momentum score shows a perfect reading, which can attract more buyers. In Q2, sales rose 10% compared to last year, adding support. With the market in a risk-friendly mood, dips near recent typical prices may offer chances before a possible revisit of recent highs.

Primary drivers

  • Strong buying interest with an upward short-term price trend in place
  • Growing demand in connected devices and car technology businesses
  • Bank of America $200 target and a top momentum score drawing more buyers
  • Q2 sales rose 10% compared to last year, adding confidence to the story

How it played out

QCOM: target reached in 74 days

Lyra published QCOM at $154.58 on 2025-08-14 with expected growth of 25%. The thesis pointed to strong buying interest, an upward short-term price trend, demand in connected devices and car technology, Bank of America's $200 target, a top momentum score, and Q2 sales growth of 10% compared to last year.

Inside the window, QCOM reached a peak of $204.90 on 2025-10-27. That was above the $191.15 target, and the target was reached in 74 days. The peak gain was 32.6%. By 2025-11-12, it ended at $175.77. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On October 7, 2025, Qualcomm announced that it was acquiring Arduino, with Arduino keeping its brand, tools, and mission. On November 5, 2025, Qualcomm reported fiscal Q4 revenue of $11.3 billion, up 10% year over year.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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