Track record · closed signal

Frontline Ltd (FRO) — closed signal from July 3, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 1, 2026 — +49.7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

FRO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$34.43 Published $37.42 Target $51.54 Window close $52.48 Peak
$30.72 – $32.48Entry zone — fair-value band
$34.43Published — price the day we called it
$37.42Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$52.48Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$51.54Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 46 days.

At window close
+49.7%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+52.4%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$51.54
last close inside the window, ended October 1, 2026
Peak price
$52.48
peak on September 21, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
46

The thesis — published July 3, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$37.42
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$30.72 – $32.48
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$34.43
published July 3, 2026
Confidence
69%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Frontline runs oil tankers and its fortunes shift with global oil movements and shipping demand. Recent analyst attention and a fragile truce near Hormuz have brought tanker rates and how full ships are to the forefront. The stock looks like it may be settling, but downward pressure, company debt, and spotty profit history mean the case is promising but not certain in the next few months.

Primary drivers

  • Analyst target raises can renew investor interest in tanker upside
  • Normalization of Hormuz traffic could increase how much ships are used
  • Ship rates move earnings a lot, giving strong cyclical exposure
  • Earnings misses and company debt make the stock riskier than peers

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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