Track record · closed signal

Walt Disney Company (DIS) — closed signal from July 3, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 1, 2026 — +1.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

DIS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$99.50 Published $111.44 Target $101.33 Window close $111.87 Peak
$96.00 – $101.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$99.50Published — price the day we called it
$111.44Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$111.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$101.33Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 52 days.

At window close
+1.8%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+12.4%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$101.33
last close inside the window, ended October 1, 2026
Peak price
$111.87
peak on August 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
52

The thesis — published July 3, 2026

Predicted growth
+12%
over the measurement window
Target price
$111.44
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$96.00 – $101.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$99.50
published July 3, 2026
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Disney is seen as a recovery story using its theme parks, sports business, tighter streaming cost control, and valuable franchises. A recent JPMorgan note keeps valuation talk alive. The setup looks balanced: market mood is mildly positive, but slow profit growth, limited debt flexibility, and weak price momentum restrain short-term conviction unless execution improves.

Primary drivers

  • A JPMorgan note keeps valuation recovery in focus
  • Parks and sports reliably turn franchises into revenue
  • Tighter streaming costs can help raise profits
  • Debt limits and soft price action reduce conviction

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All DIS signals