Track record · closed signal

First Majestic Silver Corp (AG) — closed signal from July 3, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 1, 2026 — -0.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$17.82 Published $21.38 Target $17.66 Window close $22.19 Peak
$16.50 – $18.10Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.82Published — price the day we called it
$21.38Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$22.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$17.66Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 48 days.

At window close
-0.9%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+24.5%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$17.66
last close inside the window, ended October 1, 2026
Peak price
$22.19
peak on August 28, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
48

The thesis — published July 3, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$21.38
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$16.50 – $18.10
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$17.82
published July 3, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

First Majestic offers big exposure to silver and has near-term company events. Recent permit progress at Navidad and the Del Toro deal show assets moving forward, and a firmer silver market could draw attention back to miners. However, price momentum is extended, so short-term timing looks risky until the setup strengthens.

Primary drivers

  • Navidad permit progress pushes that project forward
  • Del Toro deal sharpens the asset mix and keeps upside
  • A firmer silver market can bring miners back into favor
  • High enthusiasm and stretched momentum increase timing risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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