First Majestic Silver Corp (AG) — closed signal from July 3, 2026
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on October 1, 2026 — -0.9% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$16.50 – $18.10Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.82Published — price the day we called it
$21.38Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$22.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$17.66Window close — end-of-window price, context only
What happened
Target reached
Reached its target in 48 days.
At window close
-0.9%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the windowPeak gain
+24.5%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized returnS&P 500, same window
+2.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjustedWindow close
$17.66
last close inside the window, ended October 1, 2026Peak price
$22.19
peak on August 28, 2026 — not a realized returnDays to target
48
The thesis — published July 3, 2026
Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement windowTarget price
$21.38
the price the thesis aimed forEntry zone
$16.50 – $18.10
the fair-value band we waited forPrice at publication
$17.82
published July 3, 2026Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined upTimeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)
First Majestic offers big exposure to silver and has near-term company events. Recent permit progress at Navidad and the Del Toro deal show assets moving forward, and a firmer silver market could draw attention back to miners. However, price momentum is extended, so short-term timing looks risky until the setup strengthens.
Primary drivers
- Navidad permit progress pushes that project forward
- Del Toro deal sharpens the asset mix and keeps upside
- A firmer silver market can bring miners back into favor
- High enthusiasm and stretched momentum increase timing risk
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Lyra
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.