Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corp (RRC) — closed signal from July 2, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 30, 2026 — -2.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$36.33 – $38.07Entry zone — fair-value band

$37.86Published — price the day we called it

$44.19Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$42.96Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$37.04Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 79% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-2.2%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+13.5%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+2.7%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$37.04

last close inside the window, ended September 30, 2026

Peak price

$42.96

peak on September 3, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published July 2, 2026

Predicted growth

+17%

over the measurement window

Target price

$44.19

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$36.33 – $38.07

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$37.86

published July 2, 2026

Confidence

72%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources is a natural-gas producer whose business and stock move with gas prices. Recent hot weather and stronger LNG exports helped push prices up, which supports the company. Valuation, profit margins, and steady results are positives. However, low trading volume, company debt levels, insiders selling, and the risk of an oversupplied gas market make the setup cautious, so it is rated Watch rather than Approved.

Primary drivers

Hot weather raises gas demand and supports prices
Stronger LNG shipments lift overall gas pricing
Reliable quarterly results build trust in execution
Risk of too much gas supply could pressure prices

How it played out

RRC: shares rose 13.5% but missed the target

Lyra published RRC at $37.86 with a $44.19 target and expected 17% growth. The thesis pointed to hot weather lifting gas demand, stronger LNG shipments supporting gas prices, and reliable quarterly results. It also flagged debt, insider selling, low trading volume, and the risk of excess gas supply.

RRC rose to $42.96 on September 3, a 13.5% peak gain, but never reached the $44.19 target. It ended the window at $37.04 on September 30. The thesis partially played out because the shares moved toward the target, then gave back the gain and finished below the publication price.

What happened during the window

On July 21, Range reported second-quarter cash flow from operating activities of $235 million and net income of $195 million. On August 28, the company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share, payable September 25.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All RRC signals