Track record · closed signal

Bank of America Corp (BAC) — closed signal from July 1, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 29, 2026 — -3.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

BAC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$57.12 Published $62.51 Target $54.96 Window close $64.90 Peak
$55.19 – $57.66Entry zone — fair-value band
$57.12Published — price the day we called it
$62.51Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$64.90Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$54.96Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 34 days.

At window close
-3.8%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+13.6%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.7%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$54.96
last close inside the window, ended September 29, 2026
Peak price
$64.90
peak on August 17, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
34

The thesis — published July 1, 2026

Predicted growth
+10%
over the measurement window
Target price
$62.51
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$55.19 – $57.66
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$57.12
published July 1, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Bank of America looks like a steadier choice in a jumpy market. The stock trades at a fair price, delivers dependable profits, and can benefit if interest rates stay higher because that boosts bank income. Strong stress-test results support the idea of steady capital returns, but limited upside, weak sentiment, and credit risks keep near-term gains modest.

Primary drivers

  • Stress-test strength backs capital-return expectations
  • Higher rates can increase bank interest income assumptions
  • Consistent earnings make the profile steadier
  • Credit risks and weak sentiment constrain upside

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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