Track record · closed signal

Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW) — closed signal from July 1, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 29, 2026 — +7% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

SCHW price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$92.60 Published $105.26 Target $99.10 Window close $114.53 Peak
$88.98 – $92.96Entry zone — fair-value band
$92.60Published — price the day we called it
$105.26Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$114.53Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$99.10Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 27 days.

At window close
+7%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+23.7%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.7%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$99.10
last close inside the window, ended September 29, 2026
Peak price
$114.53
peak on August 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
27

The thesis — published July 1, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$105.26
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$88.98 – $92.96
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$92.60
published July 1, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Charles Schwab looks steady because higher interest rates, new ETFs, and active trading help its brokerage and asset-management revenue. The company shows good profits and cash, which supports stability. However, recent insider selling, lighter trading volume, and a slight weakening in earnings make the case cautious rather than strongly confident.

Primary drivers

  • New ETF products can boost trading and asset fees
  • Higher interest rates can improve cash and client economics
  • Strong profits and cash make the business more resilient
  • Insider selling and low trading volume limit conviction

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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