Track record · closed signal

First Majestic Silver Corp (AG) — closed signal from July 1, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 29, 2026 — +3.6% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$17.46 Published $21.48 Target $18.08 Window close $22.19 Peak
$16.70 – $17.60Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.46Published — price the day we called it
$21.48Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$22.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$18.08Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 50 days.

At window close
+3.6%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+27.1%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.7%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$18.08
last close inside the window, ended September 29, 2026
Peak price
$22.19
peak on August 28, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
50

The thesis — published July 1, 2026

Predicted growth
+23%
over the measurement window
Target price
$21.48
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$16.70 – $17.60
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$17.46
published July 1, 2026
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

First Majestic gives a way to benefit from silver and gold with a stronger balance sheet than many miners and better earnings leverage when metal prices rise. Progress on permits at Santa Elena and talk that silver is holding a long-term price floor are helpful, but uneven results and recent negative price momentum make this a higher-risk, more aggressive opportunity.

Primary drivers

  • Permit progress at Santa Elena adds underground mine options
  • Commentary that silver is holding a price floor is a timely catalyst
  • Healthy cash balance helps the company withstand metal-price swings
  • Inconsistent earnings and downbeat price momentum raise the risk

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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