Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corp (RRC) — closed signal from June 30, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 28, 2026 — +3.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$36.73 Published $42.14 Target $37.86 Window close $42.96 Peak
$34.34 – $37.07Entry zone — fair-value band
$36.73Published — price the day we called it
$42.14Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$42.96Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$37.86Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 57 days.

At window close
+3.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+16.9%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+2.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$37.86
last close inside the window, ended September 28, 2026
Peak price
$42.96
peak on September 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
57

The thesis — published June 30, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$42.14
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$34.34 – $37.07
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$36.73
published June 30, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources offers a way to diversify into natural gas. Recent earnings and a higher price target lifted interest, and a sustainability update added attention. The stock looks like it could bounce after being sold off, but exposure to volatile energy prices, low trading activity, and a modest cash buffer make the short-term case cautious.

Primary drivers

  • Natural gas exposure adds diversification vs. growth names
  • Higher target from Barclays keeps valuation visible
  • Sustainability report could widen investor interest
  • Recent oversold move makes a rebound more plausible

How it played out

RRC: target reached in 57 days

Lyra published RRC at $36.73 with a 15% short-term gain expected and a $42.14 target. The thesis pointed to natural gas exposure, a higher Barclays target, the sustainability report, and a possible rebound after an oversold move. It also flagged volatile energy prices, low trading activity, and a modest cash buffer.

RRC reached $42.96 on September 3, a peak gain of 16.9%. It reached the $42.14 target in 57 days. By September 28, it had fallen back to $37.86, but the published target had been met inside the window. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On July 21, Range reported second-quarter cash flow from operating activities of $235 million and production of 2.30 Bcfe per day. On August 28, the company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share, payable September 25.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.