Track record · closed signal

American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) — closed signal from June 30, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 28, 2026 — -27.3% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AMSC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$37.00 – $41.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$40.29Published — price the day we called it

$49.15Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$41.67Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$29.29Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 15% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close

-27.3%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+3.4%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+2.8%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$29.29

last close inside the window, ended September 28, 2026

Peak price

$41.67

peak on June 30, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

—

The thesis — published June 30, 2026

Predicted growth

+22%

over the measurement window

Target price

$49.15

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$37.00 – $41.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$40.29

published June 30, 2026

Confidence

72%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

AMSC is a smaller company with businesses that help make the electric grid and data-center power systems more reliable. Recent results and a bigger sales backlog give clearer proof the business is executing, so near-term upside looks possible. Low trading volume, big price swings and still-weak buying pressure make this a tactical idea rather than a buy-and-hold core pick.

Primary drivers

Ongoing grid upgrades and wind projects support revenue growth
Growing data-center power needs expand the potential customer base
Recent quarterly results increased clarity on execution and orders
A solid balance sheet helps manage volatility typical of small companies

How it played out

AMSC: the 22% growth thesis missed

Lyra published a short-term thesis at $40.28 and expected 22% growth to $49.15. The thesis pointed to grid upgrades, wind projects, growing data-center power needs, recent quarterly results and orders, and a solid balance sheet. It also noted low trading volume, large price swings and weak buying pressure.

AMSC peaked at $41.67 on June 30, a gain of 3.4%. It stayed below the $49.15 target throughout the window and ended at $29.29 on September 28. The expected rise did not play out.

What happened during the window

On August 5, 2026, AMSC reported first-quarter revenue of $94.1 million, compared with $72.4 million a year earlier. It also reported orders above $130 million.

AMSC Reports First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results and Business Outlook

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All AMSC signals