Track record · closed signal

Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) — closed signal from June 29, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 27, 2026 — -1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

GOOGL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$347.23 Published $402.79 Target $343.92 Window close $384.48 Peak
$335.00 – $350.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$347.23Published — price the day we called it
$402.79Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$384.48Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$343.92Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 67% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+10.7%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$343.92
last close inside the window, ended September 27, 2026
Peak price
$384.48
peak on August 5, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$402.79
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$335.00 – $350.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$347.23
published June 29, 2026
Confidence
71%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Alphabet looks like a high-quality company that has pulled back with the rest of big tech. Search, YouTube and cloud still make strong profits and earnings have been reliable. Recent headlines focus on industry concentration and heavy AI spending, so the idea is attractive from oversold levels but needs clearer buying interest to feel confirmed.

Primary drivers

  • Google Search and YouTube keep producing steady cash and profit
  • Cloud and AI spending help the company stay important long-term
  • Wider big-tech weakness caused a price reset that can create opportunity
  • Heavy AI infrastructure spending raises uncertainty and limits conviction

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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