Track record · closed signal

Walt Disney Company (DIS) — closed signal from June 29, 2026

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 27, 2026 — +7.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

DIS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$99.06 Published $112.07 Target $106.15 Window close $111.87 Peak
$94.55 – $99.47Entry zone — fair-value band
$99.06Published — price the day we called it
$112.07Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$111.87Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$106.15Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 92% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close
+7.2%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+12.9%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$106.15
last close inside the window, ended September 27, 2026
Peak price
$111.87
peak on August 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$112.07
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$94.55 – $99.47
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$99.06
published June 29, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Disney shows signs of a possible turnaround driven by specific positive news: strong Toy Story ticket sales, a deal to get more money from ads on connected TVs, and stock buybacks that can help value. However, the business swings with the economy, has significant debt and uneven profit growth, and recent price action is still weak, so confidence is limited and outcomes depend on follow-through.

Primary drivers

  • Strong Toy Story ticket sales boost studio outlook
  • Connected-TV ad deal could increase ad revenue
  • Share buybacks help support the stock's value
  • High debt and uneven profit growth limit conviction

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All DIS signals