Track record · closed signal

American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) — closed signal from June 29, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 27, 2026 — -25.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AMSC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$40.26 Published $48.31 Target $30.01 Window close $41.67 Peak
$37.00 – $41.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$40.26Published — price the day we called it
$48.31Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$41.67Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$30.01Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 18% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-25.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+3.5%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$30.01
last close inside the window, ended September 27, 2026
Peak price
$41.67
peak on June 30, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+20%
over the measurement window
Target price
$48.31
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$37.00 – $41.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$40.26
published June 29, 2026
Confidence
70%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

The company looks promising because recent sales, profits and order backlogs improved, driven by demand for grid, wind and data-center equipment and a stronger balance sheet. However, trading is thin and price momentum is weak. That makes timing uncertain; volatility and an insider sale keep overall confidence limited.

Primary drivers

  • Growing order backlog improves revenue visibility
  • Ongoing demand from grid, wind and data centers
  • Healthy balance sheet lowers financing worry
  • Light trading makes timing and execution riskier

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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