Track record · closed signal

Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) — closed signal from June 29, 2026

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 27, 2026 — -0.5% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

WFC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$83.39 Published $92.03 Target $82.97 Window close $91.99 Peak
$80.08 – $83.54Entry zone — fair-value band
$83.39Published — price the day we called it
$92.03Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$91.99Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$82.97Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 94% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close
-0.5%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+10.3%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$82.97
last close inside the window, ended September 27, 2026
Peak price
$91.99
peak on September 15, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+11%
over the measurement window
Target price
$92.03
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$80.08 – $83.54
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$83.39
published June 29, 2026
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Wells Fargo looks like a steadier way to own banks: valuation is reasonable, profits and the balance sheet are in decent shape, and more buyers are starting to show interest. Recent headlines didn't boost confidence and capital-return comparisons were weaker than a peer, so potential upside feels limited unless credit and interest trends improve.

Primary drivers

  • Lower-volatility bank exposure in a cautious market
  • Solid profits and a stable balance sheet
  • More buying interest than many peers
  • Capital-return debate limits upside expectations

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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