Track record · closed signal

Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW) — closed signal from June 29, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 27, 2026 — +9.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

SCHW price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$90.73 Published $104.04 Target $99.03 Window close $114.53 Peak
$87.49 – $91.47Entry zone — fair-value band
$90.73Published — price the day we called it
$104.04Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$114.53Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$99.03Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 29 days.

At window close
+9.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+26.2%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.4%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$99.03
last close inside the window, ended September 27, 2026
Peak price
$114.53
peak on August 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
29

The thesis — published June 29, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$104.04
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$87.49 – $91.47
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$90.73
published June 29, 2026
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Schwab shows steady profit and a stronger balance sheet than many brokerage peers. Near-term earnings news could help momentum, and the price is not stretched. Insider selling and cash flows sensitive to interest rates make the setup cautious rather than aggressive.

Primary drivers

  • Near-term earnings news could give a noticeable stock move
  • Large brokerage and wealth platform gives steady revenue base
  • Strong balance sheet and healthy profit margins versus peers
  • Price sits near normal trend levels, not far above typical range

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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