Track record · closed signal

First Majestic Silver Corp (AG) — closed signal from June 26, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 24, 2026 — +10.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$17.02 Published $20.25 Target $18.76 Window close $22.19 Peak
$16.00 – $17.25Entry zone — fair-value band
$17.02Published — price the day we called it
$20.25Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$22.19Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$18.76Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 54 days.

At window close
+10.2%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+30.4%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+5.5%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$18.76
last close inside the window, ended September 24, 2026
Peak price
$22.19
peak on August 28, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
54

The thesis — published June 26, 2026

Predicted growth
+19%
over the measurement window
Target price
$20.25
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$16.00 – $17.25
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$17.02
published June 26, 2026
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

First Majestic is a high-risk way to gain from silver and gold price moves over the next few months. Progress at Santa Elena, new permits and the Del Toro deal make the company more attractive operationally. Still, earnings have been uneven and metal prices swing a lot, so upside exists but with notable downside risk.

Primary drivers

  • Permits at Santa Elena speed project progress
  • Del Toro deal sharpens the company focus
  • Direct silver exposure increases metal-driven upside
  • Stronger balance sheet eases funding pressure

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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