Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corp (RRC) — closed signal from June 26, 2026

Near target Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 24, 2026 — +5.2% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$37.19 Published $44.15 Target $39.14 Window close $42.96 Peak
$35.33 – $37.82Entry zone — fair-value band
$37.19Published — price the day we called it
$44.15Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$42.96Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$39.14Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Near target

Came within reach: 82% of the predicted growth at its peak, just short of the target.

At window close
+5.2%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+15.5%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+5.5%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$39.14
last close inside the window, ended September 24, 2026
Peak price
$42.96
peak on September 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 26, 2026

Predicted growth
+19%
over the measurement window
Target price
$44.15
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$35.33 – $37.82
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$37.19
published June 26, 2026
Confidence
75%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources can help diversify energy exposure over the next few months. The stock looks inexpensive and profits could grow faster if gas prices stay favorable. New sustainability disclosures and a higher target price have improved investor interest, and options activity shows active positioning. However, the company is exposed to gas prices, has limited cash and insiders have sold, so gains depend on steady gas prices.

Primary drivers

  • Cheap stock with potential for profit growth if performance holds
  • Provides energy exposure that behaves differently from other sectors
  • New sustainability reporting improves investor awareness
  • Higher target and option flows indicate renewed market attention

How it played out

RRC: the thesis partially played out

Lyra published a short-term thesis for 19% growth from $37.19 toward $44.15. The thesis pointed to a cheap valuation, potential profit growth if gas prices stayed favorable, energy diversification, new sustainability reporting, a higher target, and active options positioning. It also cited limited cash and insider selling as risks.

RRC rose to $42.96 on September 3, a peak gain of 15.5%. The peak stayed below the $44.15 target, which was never reached. The stock ended the window at $39.14, above the publication price but below its peak. The thesis partially played out.

What happened during the window

On July 21, 2026, Range Resources reported second-quarter cash flow from operating activities of $235 million. It also reported $78 million in share repurchases and $24 million in dividends.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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