Track record · closed signal

American Superconductor Corporation (AMSC) — closed signal from June 25, 2026

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 23, 2026 — -25.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AMSC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$41.45 Published $50.56 Target $31.05 Window close $42.84 Peak
$38.50 – $42.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$41.45Published — price the day we called it
$50.56Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$42.84Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$31.05Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 15% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

At window close
-25.1%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+3.4%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$31.05
last close inside the window, ended September 23, 2026
Peak price
$42.84
peak on June 25, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
—

The thesis — published June 25, 2026

Predicted growth
+22%
over the measurement window
Target price
$50.56
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$38.50 – $42.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$41.45
published June 25, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AMSC looks like a risky growth company tied to electric power upgrades. Demand for stronger grids and electrification, plus a solid cash cushion and recent sales growth, give real upside. Offsets include big price swings, low trading volume, and unclear momentum. Near term (0-3 months) this is more a staged rebound idea than a long-term core holding.

Primary drivers

  • Growing demand for grid upgrades and electrification supports backlog visibility
  • Healthy cash reduces the need for outside financing
  • Recent sales and profit news strengthens the industrial growth story
  • Price looks reasonable if reported earnings remain reliable

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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