Track record · closed signal

Charles Schwab Corp (SCHW) — closed signal from June 25, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 23, 2026 — +8.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

SCHW price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$91.81 Published $108.02 Target $99.50 Window close $114.53 Peak
$89.48 – $93.45Entry zone — fair-value band
$91.81Published — price the day we called it
$108.02Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$114.53Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$99.50Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 42 days.

At window close
+8.4%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+24.8%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+4.8%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$99.50
last close inside the window, ended September 23, 2026
Peak price
$114.53
peak on August 24, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
42

The thesis — published June 25, 2026

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$108.02
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$89.48 – $93.45
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$91.81
published June 25, 2026
Confidence
76%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Charles Schwab is a large brokerage and banking platform that looks steady over the next few months. Recent capital disclosures and new trading and payments features make the platform more useful. Earnings are reliable but not explosive. Some insiders have sold shares and trading volume is light, so conviction is moderate. Chart setup is constructive and not overstretched.

Primary drivers

  • Capital disclosure shows the firm has a solid balance sheet and risk controls
  • New prediction trading plans help increase customer trading activity
  • Payments API for advisors makes the platform stickier for professionals
  • Reliable brokerage earnings provide defensive, steady revenue exposure

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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