Track record · closed signal

Apple Inc (AAPL) — closed signal from June 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 22, 2026 — +14.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

AAPL price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$288.00 – $300.00Entry zone — fair-value band

$295.94Published — price the day we called it

$322.57Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$345.34Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$339.75Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 19 days.

At window close

+14.8%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+16.7%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+5.7%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$339.75

last close inside the window, ended September 22, 2026

Peak price

$345.34

peak on September 22, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published June 24, 2026

Predicted growth

+9%

over the measurement window

Target price

$322.57

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$288.00 – $300.00

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$295.94

published June 24, 2026

Confidence

72%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Apple looks like a steady, lower-upside rebound. A bank's note suggests higher prices for top phones could help offset rising component costs. Services, premium device demand, and steady profits make the business stable. Momentum is mixed and upside is limited, but the recent pullback creates a plausible chance to bounce in the next 0-3 months.

Primary drivers

Bank expects higher Pro prices to help cover component cost rises
Strong services and premium device sales help margins hold up
Consistent profit delivery supports steady performance
A mild pullback creates a cleaner short-term rebound setup

How it played out

AAPL: target reached in 19 days

Lyra published a short-term rebound thesis at $295.94, with expected growth of 9% and a target of $322.57. The thesis pointed to higher Pro prices, services and premium device sales, consistent profits, and a mild pullback as support for the rebound.

AAPL reached the target in 19 days. It later peaked at $345.34 on September 22, a gain of 16.7%. The stock ended the window at $339.75, still above the target. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated price objective.

What happened during the window

On July 30, Apple reported quarterly revenue of $109.4 billion, up 16% year over year, and diluted earnings per share of $2.02. On September 9, the company unveiled its latest iPhone lineup, including a foldable model called Duo.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All AAPL signals