Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corp (RRC) — closed signal from June 24, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 22, 2026 — +5.4% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$36.34 Published $42.42 Target $38.32 Window close $42.96 Peak
$34.34 – $36.33Entry zone — fair-value band
$36.34Published — price the day we called it
$42.42Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$42.96Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$38.32Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 70 days.

At window close
+5.4%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+18.2%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+5.7%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$38.32
last close inside the window, ended September 22, 2026
Peak price
$42.96
peak on September 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
70

The thesis — published June 24, 2026

Predicted growth
+17%
over the measurement window
Target price
$42.42
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$34.34 – $36.33
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$36.34
published June 24, 2026
Confidence
67%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources provides exposure to energy through natural gas and looks cheap enough to bounce if prices recover. Recent operating results have been solid and sustainability steps and analyst attention have raised visibility. The company has less financial cushion than higher-grade peers, so sensitivity to fuel prices keeps conviction cautious for the next few months.

Primary drivers

  • Low price relative to peers supports a rebound if fuel prices rise
  • Natural gas focus adds energy exposure to the lineup
  • Sustainability progress improves operational credibility
  • Analyst target increase draws investor attention to value

How it played out

RRC: target reached in 70 days

On June 24, Lyra published a short-term thesis that expected a 17% rise from 36.34 to 42.42. The thesis pointed to Range Resources' natural gas exposure, a low price relative to peers, recent operating results, sustainability progress, and increased analyst attention. It also noted limited financial cushion and sensitivity to fuel prices.

The shares reached 42.96 on September 3, a peak gain of 18.2%. The 42.42 target was reached in 70 days. By September 22, the price had fallen back to 38.32, but it still finished above the 36.34 publication price. The published thesis played out in full inside the measurement window.

What happened during the window

On July 21, Range Resources reported second-quarter 2026 results, including $235 million in operating cash flow and production of 2.30 Bcfe per day.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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