Track record · closed signal

Range Resources Corp (RRC) — closed signal from June 23, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 21, 2026 — +3.9% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

RRC price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$36.39 Published $41.75 Target $37.82 Window close $42.96 Peak
$34.83 – $36.82Entry zone — fair-value band
$36.39Published — price the day we called it
$41.75Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$42.96Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$37.82Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 64 days.

At window close
+3.9%
realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window
Peak gain
+18.1%
peak, from the publication price — not a realized return
S&P 500, same window
+5.7%
SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted
Window close
$37.82
last close inside the window, ended September 21, 2026
Peak price
$42.96
peak on September 3, 2026 — not a realized return
Days to target
64

The thesis — published June 23, 2026

Predicted growth
+15%
over the measurement window
Target price
$41.75
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$34.83 – $36.82
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$36.39
published June 23, 2026
Confidence
68%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Range Resources is on Watch because its value and earnings could rise a lot if natural gas sentiment improves. Recent sustainability moves help the company's quality, but a major bank's weaker gas outlook is a clear near-term caution. The stock looks oversold, yet negative momentum and light trading mean short-term gains depend on gas prices stabilizing and careful risk assumptions.

Primary drivers

  • Company profits rise faster when gas prices improve, creating upside.
  • Sustainability improvements strengthen company quality and credibility.
  • Stock looks cheaper than other energy companies on valuation.
  • Cautious outlook from Barclays and insider selling lower near-term confidence.

How it played out

RRC: target reached in 64 days

Lyra published RRC at $36.39 with 15% expected growth and a $41.75 target. The thesis pointed to greater profit sensitivity if gas prices improved, sustainability improvements, and a cheaper valuation than other energy companies. It also cited a cautious Barclays outlook and insider selling as risks.

RRC reached the target in 64 days. It peaked at $42.96 on September 3, for an 18.1% gain. The price then fell and ended the window at $37.82 on September 21. The target was reached, so the thesis played out within the stated window.

What happened during the window

On July 21, 2026, Range Resources reported second-quarter operating cash flow of $235 million and net income of $195 million.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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