Track record · closed signal

Jack Henry & Associates Inc. (JKHY) — closed signal from June 23, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 21, 2026 — +20.1% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

JKHY price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$121.12 – $128.07Entry zone — fair-value band

$126.15Published — price the day we called it

$143.29Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$174.36Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$151.56Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 8 days.

At window close

+20.1%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+38.2%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+5.7%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$151.56

last close inside the window, ended September 21, 2026

Peak price

$174.36

peak on August 26, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published June 23, 2026

Predicted growth

+14%

over the measurement window

Target price

$143.29

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$121.12 – $128.07

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$126.15

published June 23, 2026

Confidence

76%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

Jack Henry is a steadier tech company that sells ongoing software and services to banks and credit unions. Recent moves - a bigger stock repurchase plan and adding Flexi into its product network - make the shareholder-return and product story stronger. Price action looks weak now but not yet proven; the next few months could show moderate upside in choppy markets.

Primary drivers

Ongoing software contracts with banks provide steadier sales
Bigger repurchase plan gives clearer support for shareholder value
Flexi joining the network expands the product ecosystem
Reliable earnings help limit downside surprises

How it played out

JKHY: target reached in 8 days

Lyra published a 14% growth thesis from $126.15, with a $143.29 target. The thesis pointed to ongoing software contracts with banks, a bigger repurchase plan, Flexi joining the product network, and reliable earnings as support for moderate upside.

The shares reached the target in 8 days. They later peaked at $174.36 on August 26, a 38.2% gain, and ended the window at $151.56. The peak and closing price were both above the target. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated price objective.

What happened during the window

On August 18, Jack Henry reported that fiscal fourth-quarter revenue rose 4.7%, while operating income fell 12.2%. On August 31, the company reported a cybersecurity incident in part of its internal, non-production environment and said client-facing systems were not disrupted.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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