Track record · closed signal

Dorian LPG Ltd (LPG) — closed signal from June 22, 2026

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on September 20, 2026 — +46.8% at the close.

Predicted vs. what happened

LPG price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted

$37.06 – $39.21Entry zone — fair-value band

$39.61Published — price the day we called it

$44.54Target — the price the thesis aimed for

$59.97Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return

$58.15Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 36 days.

At window close

+46.8%

realized, from the publication price to the last close inside the window

Peak gain

+51.4%

peak, from the publication price — not a realized return

S&P 500, same window

+2.6%

SPY over the identical days, dividend-adjusted

Window close

$58.15

last close inside the window, ended September 20, 2026

Peak price

$59.97

peak on September 17, 2026 — not a realized return

Days to target

The thesis — published June 22, 2026

Predicted growth

+15%

over the measurement window

Target price

$44.54

the price the thesis aimed for

Entry zone

$37.06 – $39.21

the fair-value band we waited for

Price at publication

$39.61

published June 22, 2026

Confidence

70%

how strongly the data lined up

Timeframe

Short-term (0–3 months)

- Summarize why the idea is attractive; - Explain risks and near-term timing; - Describe what would confirm improvement. Dorian LPG is cheap relative to peers and generates strong profits, so it could rebound if shipping rates firm. Geopolitical events and oil moves can quickly raise freight prices, which helps earnings. Recent results improved the case, but low trading activity and negative price momentum make this a cautious short-term, cyclical idea.

Primary drivers

News about tankers can quickly move freight prices
Cheap valuation makes a rebound more likely
Earnings recovery makes near-term outlook firmer
Low trading activity and cyclicality limit conviction

How it played out

LPG: target reached in 36 days

Lyra published LPG at $39.61 with 15% expected growth and a $44.54 target. The thesis pointed to a cheap valuation, an earnings recovery, and the chance that tanker news could lift freight prices. It also flagged low trading activity, negative price momentum, and cyclicality as reasons for caution.

Within the window, LPG reached the $44.54 target in 36 days. It later peaked at $59.97 on September 17, a 51.4% gain, and ended at $58.15. The thesis played out and exceeded its stated target.

What happened during the window

On June 23, Dorian LPG announced a contract for one new vessel and agreements to sell three vessels. On August 5, the company reported net income of $138.3 million for the quarter ended June 30.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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