Track record · closed signal

Skechers U.S.A., Inc. (SKX) — closed signal from August 13, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 11, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

SKX price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$62.93 Published $72.99 Target $63.13 Window close $63.37 Peak
$62.50 – $63.25Entry zone — fair-value band
$62.93Published — price the day we called it
$72.99Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$63.37Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$63.13Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 4% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$63.37
peak on September 11, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+0.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$63.13
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
August 13, 2025 – November 11, 2025

The thesis — published August 13, 2025

Predicted growth
+16%
over the measurement window
Target price
$72.99
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$62.50 – $63.25
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$62.93
published August 13, 2025
Confidence
72%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Skechers looks set for a near-term bounce after a sharp pullback. The stock appears very oversold, yet business news stayed positive: last quarter sales beat expectations by $90M, and international markets are strong, with Europe, the Middle East, and Africa making about 30% of sales. With the recent average price flattening out, a 0-3 month recovery toward recent highs is reasonable as buying interest and overall interest improve.

Primary drivers

  • Very oversold readings hint the price could bounce in the near term
  • Quarter beat on sales; strong Europe, Middle East, and Africa contribution
  • Recent average price flattening after a pullback suggests easing pressure
  • Investor mood is solid, allowing room for the stock to be valued higher

How it played out

SKX: target was not reached

Lyra published SKX at $62.93 on 2025-08-13. The thesis expected 16% growth in a short-term window. It pointed to very oversold readings, a sales beat of $90M, strong Europe, Middle East, and Africa exposure at about 30% of sales, a flattening recent average price, and solid investor mood.

Inside the window, SKX peaked at $63.37 on 2025-09-11, with a peak gain of 0.7%. That stayed below the $72.99 target. The stock ended the window at $63.13 on 2025-11-11. The published bounce thesis only partially played out. It rose a little, but it never got there.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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