Track record · closed signal

UP Fintech Holding Limited (Tiger Brokers) (TIGR) — closed signal from August 13, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 11, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

TIGR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$10.84 Published $14.63 Target $10.53 Window close $13.55 Peak
$10.70 – $11.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$10.84Published — price the day we called it
$14.63Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$13.55Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$10.53Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 71% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$13.55
peak on August 25, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+25%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$10.53
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
August 13, 2025 – November 11, 2025

The thesis — published August 13, 2025

Predicted growth
+35%
over the measurement window
Target price
$14.63
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$10.70 – $11.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$10.84
published August 13, 2025
Confidence
93%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

UP Fintech looks like a leader in its space, with strong interest and lots more people buying than usual. Citi upgraded the stock to Buy on Jul 22 with a $14 target, and Q1 2025 sales were up 55% compared to last year, showing healthier business trends and room to grow in crypto in Asia. With these positives lining up, buying near the lower price area aims for gains over the next 0-3 months as brokers often pop when risk-taking returns.

Primary drivers

  • Citi raised its rating to Buy with a $14 target, noting crypto potential
  • Q1 2025 sales were up 55% compared to last year, showing solid growth
  • Strong demand and much heavier trading suggest buyers are in control
  • Asian brokerage benefits when investors feel bold and trade more

How it played out

TIGR: thesis partly played out, target missed

Lyra published TIGR at $10.84 on 2025-08-13, with expected growth of 35% over the short term. The thesis pointed to Citi's Buy rating with a $14 target, Q1 2025 sales up 55%, strong demand with heavier trading, and a brokerage setup that could benefit when investors traded more.

Inside the window, TIGR rose to $13.55 on 2025-08-25, a 25% peak gain. It stayed below the $14.63 target and never reached it. By 2025-11-11, it ended at $10.53. The thesis partly played out, but the target missed.

What happened during the window

On Aug. 27, 2025, UP Fintech reported second-quarter results. The report said revenue was $138.7 million, up 59%, and customer additions were 39,800 for the quarter.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

Share this receipt

A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.

Lyra

Read the next call before it closes.

This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

See today’s picks All TIGR signals